Poland-Ukraine Bilateral Trade Analysis 2023

Complete trade statistics: $15.11B total volume โ€ขPoland surplus: $5.49B

Poland โ†’ Ukraine

$10.30B

Exports (2023)

Ukraine โ†’ Poland

$4.81B

Imports (2023)

Trade Balance

$5.49B

Surplus for Poland

Total Trade

$15.11B

Combined Volume

Trade Flow Visualization

Direct trade relationship between Poland and Ukraine. Green line shows exports from Poland, red line shows imports.

Detailed Product Trade Analysis

Comprehensive breakdown of trade flows by product category, revealing the specialized nature of the Poland-Ukraine commercial relationship and competitive positioning in global markets.

Poland โ†’ Ukraine Exports

$10.30B
2023 Total

Export Market Intelligence

Product Diversity:
Highly Diversified
Market Share:
13.5% top product
1Petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils
$1.39B
13.5% of exports
2Ammunition: n.e.c. in chapter 93
$938.14M
9.1% of exports
3Military weapons: artillery weapons (e.g. guns, howitzers, and mortars)
$242.72M
2.4% of exports
4Vehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity over 1500 but not over 2500cc
$231.18M
2.2% of exports
5Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium
$168.19M
1.6% of exports
6Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711
$157.93M
1.5% of exports
7Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas
$133.65M
1.3% of exports
8Tractors: road, for semi-trailers
$129.28M
1.3% of exports
9Coke and semi-coke: of coal, lignite or peat, whether or not agglomerated: retort carbon
$118.59M
1.2% of exports
10Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)
$102.95M
1.0% of exports

๐ŸŽฏ Strategic Export Focus

Poland's export portfolio to Ukraine demonstrates strong diversification across multiple sectors, with petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils representing a key competitive advantage in this bilateral market.

Ukraine โ†’ Poland Imports

$4.81B
2023 Total

Import Dependency Profile

Supply Diversity:
Well Diversified
Critical Imports:
6.4% concentration
1Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified
$305.79M
6.4% of imports
2Iron: non-alloy pig iron containing by weight 0.5% or less of phosphorus, in pigs, blocks or other primary forms
$244.73M
5.1% of imports
3Iron ores and concentrates: non-agglomerated
$221.35M
4.6% of imports
4Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of sunflower seed oils
$182.15M
3.8% of imports
5Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, crude, whether or not degummed, not chemically modified
$181.39M
3.8% of imports
6Ferro-alloys: ferro-silico-manganese
$147.36M
3.1% of imports
7Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness
$139.02M
2.9% of imports
8Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil
$136.97M
2.8% of imports
9Iron ores and concentrates: agglomerated (excluding roasted iron pyrites)
$124.34M
2.6% of imports
10Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm
$122.05M
2.5% of imports

๐Ÿ“ฆ Import Strategy Analysis

Poland's import pattern from Ukraine reveals significant dependencyin vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified, highlighting complementary economic structures and potential supply chain optimization opportunities.

Competitive Trade Position Analysis

๐Ÿ†

Market Leadership

Poland demonstrates competitive strength in exportingpetroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils to Ukraine, leveraging comparative advantages.

Export Leader in 20+ Categories
๐Ÿ”„

Trade Complementarity

The bilateral relationship showsmoderatecomplementarity, with each country specializing in different sectors.

Specialized Exchange
๐Ÿ“ˆ

Growth Potential

The $15.11B trade volume indicates substantial economic integration with room for expansion in emerging sectors.

Major Partnership

Executive Summary: Poland-Ukraine Trade Relationship

Key Trade Highlights 2023

  • Total Trade Volume: $15.11 billionrepresenting a significant bilateral economic relationship
  • Trade Balance: Poland maintains a surplus of $5.49 billion
  • Export Focus: Poland's primary exports include petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils, ammunition: n.e.c. in chapter 93, military weapons: artillery weapons (e.g. guns, howitzers, and mortars)
  • Import Dependencies: Key imports from Ukraine include vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified, iron: non-alloy pig iron containing by weight 0.5% or less of phosphorus, in pigs, blocks or other primary forms, iron ores and concentrates: non-agglomerated

Strategic Trade Indicators

Trade IntensityHigh
Export DiversificationDiversified
Trade Balance HealthImbalanced

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Position: This bilateral trade relationship represents a significant global trade partnerships, with complementary economic strengths driving sustained commercial exchange.

Historical Trade Analysis & Economic Context

Trade Evolution Timeline

2019-2023: Recent Trends

Current trade volume of $15.11B represents the culmination of evolving bilateral commercial relationships, influenced by global supply chain shifts and changing economic priorities.

2015-2019: Growth Period

Sustained expansion in bilateral trade driven by complementary economic structures, with Poland leveraging its comparative advantages in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils.

2010-2015: Foundation Building

Establishment of modern trade frameworks and reduction of barriers, facilitating increased commercial exchange and investment flows between the two economies.

Pre-2010: Early Development

Initial stages of bilateral trade relationship development, with focus on traditional export-import patterns and gradual market integration.

Key Economic Drivers

1

Comparative Advantage

Poland's specialization in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oilscomplements Ukraine's demand patterns, creating natural trade synergies.

2

Supply Chain Integration

Deep integration in global value chains has strengthened bilateral linkages, particularly in vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified.

3

Market Access & Trade Policy

Favorable trade agreements and market access conditions have facilitated the growth of this $15.11B bilateral relationship.

Trade Pattern Insights

Trade ComplementarityAsymmetric
Seasonal VariationsModerate
Product ConcentrationLow
Market DependencyHigh
๐Ÿ”ฎ

Trade Relationship Outlook

The $15.11B bilateral trade volume positions this relationship for continued growth, supported by technological advancement, evolving consumer preferences, and strengthening economic ties. Key opportunities lie in expanding cooperation in emerging sectors while managing potential supply chain vulnerabilities.

Economic Impact & Strategic Outlook

Economic Impact Assessment

๐Ÿ’ฐ

Trade Volume Impact

The $15.11 billion bilateral trade volume represents a significant economic factorfor both economies.

Economic Significance: High
๐Ÿญ

Industrial Integration

Trade flows in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils and vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified demonstrate deep industrial linkages and supply chain integration.

Supply Chain Integration: Diversified
โš–๏ธ

Trade Balance Effects

Poland's trade surplus of $5.49 billion strengthens its overall economic position in this bilateral relationship.

Balance Impact: Export Advantage

Strategic Future Outlook

๐Ÿš€Growth Opportunities

Emerging Sectors
Technology transfer and innovation cooperation in ammunition: n.e.c. in chapter 93 present expansion opportunities.
Market Diversification
Beyond current focus on vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified, new product categories offer potential for trade expansion.

โš ๏ธRisk Factors

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Moderate concentration in key sectors requires monitoring
Market Competition
Global competition in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils may affect future market positioning.

๐ŸŽฏStrategic Recommendations

  • Strengthen cooperation in high-value sectors beyond current trade patterns
  • Develop alternative supply chains to reduce dependency risks
  • Explore joint ventures in emerging technology sectors
  • Enhance trade facilitation and reduce transaction costs

Market Position & Competitive Summary

The bilateral trade relationship between Poland and Ukraine represents a total trade volume of $15.11 billion in 2023. This partnership demonstrates a favorable trade balance for Poland, with exports exceeding importsby $5.49 billion.

Export Strengths

Poland's exports to Ukraine total $10.30 billion, with competitive advantages in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils, representing $1.39B or13.5% of bilateral exports.

Import Dependencies

Imports from Ukraine amount to $4.81 billion, highlighting economic interdependence in vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified, with Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified comprising6.4% of total imports.

The trade relationship reflects broader economic patterns and comparative advantages. The trade surplus indicates Poland's competitive position in this bilateral relationship. This partnership is characterized by complementary trade flows, with each country specializing in different product categories based on their respective economic strengths, industrial capabilities, and position in global value chains.

Download Bilateral Trade Data

Access detailed trade data between Poland and Ukraine in multiple formats.

Data Source: CEPII BACI (Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International) โ€ข Last Updated: January 2025 โ€ข Coverage: 1995-2023