China-Timor-Leste Bilateral Trade Analysis 2023

Complete trade statistics: $336.43M total volume •China surplus: $187.05M

ChinaTimor-Leste

$261.74M

Exports (2023)

Timor-LesteChina

$74.69M

Imports (2023)

Trade Balance

$187.05M

Surplus for China

Total Trade

$336.43M

Combined Volume

Trade Flow Visualization

Direct trade relationship between China and Timor-Leste. Green line shows exports from China, red line shows imports.

Detailed Product Trade Analysis

Comprehensive breakdown of trade flows by product category, revealing the specialized nature of the China-Timor-Leste commercial relationship and competitive positioning in global markets.

ChinaTimor-Leste Exports

$261.74M
2023 Total

Export Market Intelligence

Product Diversity:
Specialized Focus
Market Share:
6.0% top product
1Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73
$15.65M
6.0% of exports
2Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed
$10.18M
3.9% of exports
3Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics
$8.11M
3.1% of exports
4Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling
$7.77M
3.0% of exports
5Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99
$4.77M
1.8% of exports

🎯 Strategic Export Focus

China's export portfolio to Timor-Leste demonstrates strategic specialization, with iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73 representing a key competitive advantage in this bilateral market.

Timor-LesteChina Imports

$74.69M
2023 Total

Import Dependency Profile

Supply Diversity:
Concentrated
Critical Imports:
99.2% concentration
1Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude
$74.13M
99.2% of imports
2Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated
$260,094
0.3% of imports
3Vegetable products: fit for human consumption, n.e.c. in heading no. 1212, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not ground
$121,400
0.2% of imports
4Aluminium: unwrought, alloys
$85,581
0.1% of imports
5Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)
$44,000
0.1% of imports

📦 Import Strategy Analysis

China's import pattern from Timor-Leste reveals significant dependencyin oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude, highlighting complementary economic structures and potential supply chain optimization opportunities.

Competitive Trade Position Analysis

🏆

Market Leadership

China demonstrates competitive strength in exportingiron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73 to Timor-Leste, leveraging comparative advantages.

Export Leader in 5+ Categories
🔄

Trade Complementarity

The bilateral relationship showsmoderatecomplementarity, with each country specializing in different sectors.

Specialized Exchange
📈

Growth Potential

The $336.43M trade volume indicates substantial economic integration with room for expansion in emerging sectors.

Significant Partnership

Executive Summary: China-Timor-Leste Trade Relationship

Key Trade Highlights 2023

  • Total Trade Volume: $336.43 millionrepresenting a significant bilateral economic relationship
  • Trade Balance: China maintains a surplus of $187.05 million
  • Export Focus: China's primary exports include iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73, cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed, iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics
  • Import Dependencies: Key imports from Timor-Leste include oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude, coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated, vegetable products: fit for human consumption, n.e.c. in heading no. 1212, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not ground

Strategic Trade Indicators

Trade IntensityHigh
Export DiversificationConcentrated
Trade Balance HealthImbalanced

📈 Market Position: This bilateral trade relationship represents an important regional trade partnerships, with complementary economic strengths driving sustained commercial exchange.

Historical Trade Analysis & Economic Context

Trade Evolution Timeline

2019-2023: Recent Trends

Current trade volume of $336.43M represents the culmination of evolving bilateral commercial relationships, influenced by global supply chain shifts and changing economic priorities.

2015-2019: Growth Period

Sustained expansion in bilateral trade driven by complementary economic structures, with China leveraging its comparative advantages in iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73.

2010-2015: Foundation Building

Establishment of modern trade frameworks and reduction of barriers, facilitating increased commercial exchange and investment flows between the two economies.

Pre-2010: Early Development

Initial stages of bilateral trade relationship development, with focus on traditional export-import patterns and gradual market integration.

Key Economic Drivers

1

Comparative Advantage

China's specialization in iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73complements Timor-Leste's demand patterns, creating natural trade synergies.

2

Supply Chain Integration

Deep integration in global value chains has strengthened bilateral linkages, particularly in oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude.

3

Market Access & Trade Policy

Favorable trade agreements and market access conditions have facilitated the growth of this $336.43M bilateral relationship.

Trade Pattern Insights

Trade ComplementarityAsymmetric
Seasonal VariationsModerate
Product ConcentrationMedium
Market DependencyHigh
🔮

Trade Relationship Outlook

The $336.43M bilateral trade volume positions this relationship for continued growth, supported by technological advancement, evolving consumer preferences, and strengthening economic ties. Key opportunities lie in expanding cooperation in emerging sectors while managing potential supply chain vulnerabilities.

Economic Impact & Strategic Outlook

Economic Impact Assessment

💰

Trade Volume Impact

The $336.43 million bilateral trade volume represents a important trade relationshipfor both economies.

Economic Significance: Moderate
🏭

Industrial Integration

Trade flows in iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73 and oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude demonstrate deep industrial linkages and supply chain integration.

Supply Chain Integration: Specialized
⚖️

Trade Balance Effects

China's trade surplus of $187.05 million strengthens its overall economic position in this bilateral relationship.

Balance Impact: Export Advantage

Strategic Future Outlook

🚀Growth Opportunities

Emerging Sectors
Technology transfer and innovation cooperation in cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed present expansion opportunities.
Market Diversification
Beyond current focus on oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude, new product categories offer potential for trade expansion.

⚠️Risk Factors

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
High trade imbalance may create supply chain risks
Market Competition
Global competition in iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73 may affect future market positioning.

🎯Strategic Recommendations

  • Strengthen cooperation in high-value sectors beyond current trade patterns
  • Develop alternative supply chains to reduce dependency risks
  • Explore joint ventures in emerging technology sectors
  • Enhance trade facilitation and reduce transaction costs

Market Position & Competitive Summary

The bilateral trade relationship between China and Timor-Leste represents a total trade volume of $336.43 million in 2023. This partnership demonstrates a favorable trade balance for China, with exports exceeding importsby $187.05 million.

Export Strengths

China's exports to Timor-Leste total $261.74 million, with competitive advantages in iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73, representing $15.65M or6.0% of bilateral exports.

Import Dependencies

Imports from Timor-Leste amount to $74.69 million, highlighting economic interdependence in oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude, with Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude comprising99.2% of total imports.

The trade relationship reflects broader economic patterns and comparative advantages. The trade surplus indicates China's competitive position in this bilateral relationship. This partnership is characterized by complementary trade flows, with each country specializing in different product categories based on their respective economic strengths, industrial capabilities, and position in global value chains.

Download Bilateral Trade Data

Access detailed trade data between China and Timor-Leste in multiple formats.

Data Source: CEPII BACI (Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International) • Last Updated: January 2025 • Coverage: 1995-2023