Trade glossary · measurement

Trade surplus

Exports exceed imports. The country sells more goods abroad than it buys.

A persistent trade surplus contributes to foreign-currency accumulation, currency appreciation pressure, and net positive contribution to GDP from net exports. Surplus countries typically have strong manufacturing bases (Germany, Japan, China) or large commodity exports (Saudi Arabia, Russia, Norway). Surpluses can also reflect weak domestic demand rather than competitive strength.

Examples

  • China: ~$823B goods surplus in 2023.
  • Germany: ~$200B goods surplus.
  • Russia: large surplus from energy exports despite sanctions.