Guatemala-Mexico Bilateral Trade Analysis 2023

Complete trade statistics: $3.93B total volume •Guatemala deficit: $2.59B

GuatemalaMexico

$673.52M

Exports (2023)

MexicoGuatemala

$3.26B

Imports (2023)

Trade Balance

$2.59B

Deficit for Guatemala

Total Trade

$3.93B

Combined Volume

Trade Flow Visualization

Direct trade relationship between Guatemala and Mexico. Green line shows exports from Guatemala, red line shows imports.

Detailed Product Trade Analysis

Comprehensive breakdown of trade flows by product category, revealing the specialized nature of the Guatemala-Mexico commercial relationship and competitive positioning in global markets.

GuatemalaMexico Exports

$673.52M
2023 Total

Export Market Intelligence

Product Diversity:
Specialized Focus
Market Share:
14.7% top product
1Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified
$98.88M
14.7% of exports
2Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter
$41.12M
6.1% of exports
3Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)
$34.58M
5.1% of exports
4Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa
$28.70M
4.3% of exports
5Rubber: natural rubber latex, whether or not pre-vulcanised, in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip
$26.78M
4.0% of exports

🎯 Strategic Export Focus

Guatemala's export portfolio to Mexico demonstrates strategic specialization, with vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified representing a key competitive advantage in this bilateral market.

MexicoGuatemala Imports

$3.26B
2023 Total

Import Dependency Profile

Supply Diversity:
Concentrated
Critical Imports:
3.9% concentration
1Electrical energy
$128.44M
3.9% of imports
2Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen
$121.09M
3.7% of imports
3Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, not fitted with connectors
$91.37M
2.8% of imports
4Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009
$66.45M
2.0% of imports
5Sanitary towels (pads) and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies and similar articles, of any material
$63.00M
1.9% of imports

📦 Import Strategy Analysis

Guatemala's import pattern from Mexico reveals significant dependencyin electrical energy, highlighting complementary economic structures and potential supply chain optimization opportunities.

Competitive Trade Position Analysis

🏆

Market Leadership

Guatemala demonstrates competitive strength in exportingvegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified to Mexico, leveraging comparative advantages.

Export Leader in 5+ Categories
🔄

Trade Complementarity

The bilateral relationship showsmoderatecomplementarity, with each country specializing in different sectors.

Specialized Exchange
📈

Growth Potential

The $3.93B trade volume indicates substantial economic integration with room for expansion in emerging sectors.

Significant Partnership

Executive Summary: Guatemala-Mexico Trade Relationship

Key Trade Highlights 2023

  • Total Trade Volume: $3.93 billionrepresenting a significant bilateral economic relationship
  • Trade Balance: Guatemala maintains a deficit of $2.59 billion
  • Export Focus: Guatemala's primary exports include vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter, rubber: technically specified natural rubber (tsnr), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)
  • Import Dependencies: Key imports from Mexico include electrical energy, reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen, insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, not fitted with connectors

Strategic Trade Indicators

Trade IntensityHigh
Export DiversificationConcentrated
Trade Balance HealthImbalanced

📈 Market Position: This bilateral trade relationship represents an important regional trade partnerships, with complementary economic strengths driving sustained commercial exchange.

Historical Trade Analysis & Economic Context

Trade Evolution Timeline

2019-2023: Recent Trends

Current trade volume of $3.93B represents the culmination of evolving bilateral commercial relationships, influenced by global supply chain shifts and changing economic priorities.

2015-2019: Growth Period

Sustained expansion in bilateral trade driven by complementary economic structures, with Guatemala leveraging its comparative advantages in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified.

2010-2015: Foundation Building

Establishment of modern trade frameworks and reduction of barriers, facilitating increased commercial exchange and investment flows between the two economies.

Pre-2010: Early Development

Initial stages of bilateral trade relationship development, with focus on traditional export-import patterns and gradual market integration.

Key Economic Drivers

1

Comparative Advantage

Guatemala's specialization in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modifiedcomplements Mexico's demand patterns, creating natural trade synergies.

2

Supply Chain Integration

Deep integration in global value chains has strengthened bilateral linkages, particularly in electrical energy.

3

Market Access & Trade Policy

Favorable trade agreements and market access conditions have facilitated the growth of this $3.93B bilateral relationship.

Trade Pattern Insights

Trade ComplementarityAsymmetric
Seasonal VariationsModerate
Product ConcentrationMedium
Market DependencyHigh
🔮

Trade Relationship Outlook

The $3.93B bilateral trade volume positions this relationship for continued growth, supported by technological advancement, evolving consumer preferences, and strengthening economic ties. Key opportunities lie in expanding cooperation in emerging sectors while managing potential supply chain vulnerabilities.

Economic Impact & Strategic Outlook

Economic Impact Assessment

💰

Trade Volume Impact

The $3.93 billion bilateral trade volume represents a important trade relationshipfor both economies.

Economic Significance: Moderate
🏭

Industrial Integration

Trade flows in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified and electrical energy demonstrate deep industrial linkages and supply chain integration.

Supply Chain Integration: Specialized
⚖️

Trade Balance Effects

Guatemala's trade deficit of $2.59 billion impacts its overall economic position in this bilateral relationship.

Balance Impact: Import Dependency

Strategic Future Outlook

🚀Growth Opportunities

Emerging Sectors
Technology transfer and innovation cooperation in sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter present expansion opportunities.
Market Diversification
Beyond current focus on electrical energy, new product categories offer potential for trade expansion.

⚠️Risk Factors

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
High trade imbalance may create supply chain risks
Market Competition
Global competition in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified may affect future market positioning.

🎯Strategic Recommendations

  • Strengthen cooperation in high-value sectors beyond current trade patterns
  • Develop alternative supply chains to reduce dependency risks
  • Explore joint ventures in emerging technology sectors
  • Enhance trade facilitation and reduce transaction costs

Market Position & Competitive Summary

The bilateral trade relationship between Guatemala and Mexico represents a total trade volume of $3.93 billion in 2023. This partnership demonstrates an unfavorable trade balance for Guatemala, with imports exceeding exportsby $2.59 billion.

Export Strengths

Guatemala's exports to Mexico total $673.52 million, with competitive advantages in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, representing $98.88M or14.7% of bilateral exports.

Import Dependencies

Imports from Mexico amount to $3.26 billion, highlighting economic interdependence in electrical energy, with Electrical energy comprising3.9% of total imports.

The trade relationship reflects broader economic patterns and comparative advantages. The trade deficit indicates Guatemala's strategic sourcing from Mexico. This partnership is characterized by complementary trade flows, with each country specializing in different product categories based on their respective economic strengths, industrial capabilities, and position in global value chains.

Download Bilateral Trade Data

Access detailed trade data between Guatemala and Mexico in multiple formats.

Data Source: CEPII BACI (Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International) • Last Updated: January 2025 • Coverage: 1995-2023