India-Nepal Bilateral Trade Analysis 2023

Complete trade statistics: $8.06B total volume โ€ขIndia surplus: $6.44B

India โ†’ Nepal

$7.25B

Exports (2023)

Nepal โ†’ India

$811.46M

Imports (2023)

Trade Balance

$6.44B

Surplus for India

Total Trade

$8.06B

Combined Volume

Trade Flow Visualization

Direct trade relationship between India and Nepal. Green line shows exports from India, red line shows imports.

Detailed Product Trade Analysis

Comprehensive breakdown of trade flows by product category, revealing the specialized nature of the India-Nepal commercial relationship and competitive positioning in global markets.

India โ†’ Nepal Exports

$7.25B
2023 Total

Export Market Intelligence

Product Diversity:
Highly Diversified
Market Share:
22.8% top product
1Petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils
$1.65B
22.8% of exports
2Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711
$383.25M
5.3% of exports
3Ferrous products: obtained by direct reduction of iron ore, in lumps, pellets or similar forms
$308.65M
4.3% of exports
4Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm
$177.39M
2.4% of exports
5Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.c. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale
$142.21M
2.0% of exports
6Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, other than rectangular or square cross-section
$133.29M
1.8% of exports
7Cereals: rice in the husk (paddy or rough)
$120.23M
1.7% of exports
8Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated
$105.01M
1.4% of exports
9Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil
$104.80M
1.4% of exports
10Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed
$96.56M
1.3% of exports

๐ŸŽฏ Strategic Export Focus

India's export portfolio to Nepal demonstrates strong diversification across multiple sectors, with petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils representing a key competitive advantage in this bilateral market.

Nepal โ†’ India Imports

$811.46M
2023 Total

Import Dependency Profile

Supply Diversity:
Well Diversified
Critical Imports:
8.7% concentration
1Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified
$70.28M
8.7% of imports
2Spices: cardamoms, neither crushed nor ground
$65.99M
8.1% of imports
3Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009
$59.43M
7.3% of imports
4Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg
$59.14M
7.3% of imports
5Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, plated or coated with aluminium zinc-alloys
$46.93M
5.8% of imports
6Fabrics, woven: of jute or of other textile bast fibres of heading no. 5303, unbleached
$35.51M
4.4% of imports
7Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics
$31.47M
3.9% of imports
8Yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of synthetic staple fibres, containing 85% or more by weight of polyester, not put up for retail sale
$29.66M
3.7% of imports
9Plywood, veneered panels and similar laminated wood (other than blockboard, laminboard and battenboard, other than of bamboo, and other than plywood consisting only of sheets of wood each ply 6mm or thinner)
$27.55M
3.4% of imports
10Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg
$23.20M
2.9% of imports

๐Ÿ“ฆ Import Strategy Analysis

India's import pattern from Nepal reveals significant dependencyin vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified, highlighting complementary economic structures and potential supply chain optimization opportunities.

Competitive Trade Position Analysis

๐Ÿ†

Market Leadership

India demonstrates competitive strength in exportingpetroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils to Nepal, leveraging comparative advantages.

Export Leader in 20+ Categories
๐Ÿ”„

Trade Complementarity

The bilateral relationship showsmoderatecomplementarity, with each country specializing in different sectors.

Specialized Exchange
๐Ÿ“ˆ

Growth Potential

The $8.06B trade volume indicates substantial economic integration with room for expansion in emerging sectors.

Significant Partnership

Executive Summary: India-Nepal Trade Relationship

Key Trade Highlights 2023

  • Total Trade Volume: $8.06 billionrepresenting a significant bilateral economic relationship
  • Trade Balance: India maintains a surplus of $6.44 billion
  • Export Focus: India's primary exports include petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils, petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711, ferrous products: obtained by direct reduction of iron ore, in lumps, pellets or similar forms
  • Import Dependencies: Key imports from Nepal include vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified, spices: cardamoms, neither crushed nor ground, non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009

Strategic Trade Indicators

Trade IntensityHigh
Export DiversificationDiversified
Trade Balance HealthImbalanced

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Position: This bilateral trade relationship represents an important regional trade partnerships, with complementary economic strengths driving sustained commercial exchange.

Historical Trade Analysis & Economic Context

Trade Evolution Timeline

2019-2023: Recent Trends

Current trade volume of $8.06B represents the culmination of evolving bilateral commercial relationships, influenced by global supply chain shifts and changing economic priorities.

2015-2019: Growth Period

Sustained expansion in bilateral trade driven by complementary economic structures, with India leveraging its comparative advantages in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils.

2010-2015: Foundation Building

Establishment of modern trade frameworks and reduction of barriers, facilitating increased commercial exchange and investment flows between the two economies.

Pre-2010: Early Development

Initial stages of bilateral trade relationship development, with focus on traditional export-import patterns and gradual market integration.

Key Economic Drivers

1

Comparative Advantage

India's specialization in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oilscomplements Nepal's demand patterns, creating natural trade synergies.

2

Supply Chain Integration

Deep integration in global value chains has strengthened bilateral linkages, particularly in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified.

3

Market Access & Trade Policy

Favorable trade agreements and market access conditions have facilitated the growth of this $8.06B bilateral relationship.

Trade Pattern Insights

Trade ComplementarityAsymmetric
Seasonal VariationsModerate
Product ConcentrationLow
Market DependencyHigh
๐Ÿ”ฎ

Trade Relationship Outlook

The $8.06B bilateral trade volume positions this relationship for continued growth, supported by technological advancement, evolving consumer preferences, and strengthening economic ties. Key opportunities lie in expanding cooperation in emerging sectors while managing potential supply chain vulnerabilities.

Economic Impact & Strategic Outlook

Economic Impact Assessment

๐Ÿ’ฐ

Trade Volume Impact

The $8.06 billion bilateral trade volume represents a important trade relationshipfor both economies.

Economic Significance: Moderate
๐Ÿญ

Industrial Integration

Trade flows in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils and vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified demonstrate deep industrial linkages and supply chain integration.

Supply Chain Integration: Diversified
โš–๏ธ

Trade Balance Effects

India's trade surplus of $6.44 billion strengthens its overall economic position in this bilateral relationship.

Balance Impact: Export Advantage

Strategic Future Outlook

๐Ÿš€Growth Opportunities

Emerging Sectors
Technology transfer and innovation cooperation in petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711 present expansion opportunities.
Market Diversification
Beyond current focus on vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified, new product categories offer potential for trade expansion.

โš ๏ธRisk Factors

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
High trade imbalance may create supply chain risks
Market Competition
Global competition in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils may affect future market positioning.

๐ŸŽฏStrategic Recommendations

  • Strengthen cooperation in high-value sectors beyond current trade patterns
  • Develop alternative supply chains to reduce dependency risks
  • Explore joint ventures in emerging technology sectors
  • Enhance trade facilitation and reduce transaction costs

Market Position & Competitive Summary

The bilateral trade relationship between India and Nepal represents a total trade volume of $8.06 billion in 2023. This partnership demonstrates a favorable trade balance for India, with exports exceeding importsby $6.44 billion.

Export Strengths

India's exports to Nepal total $7.25 billion, with competitive advantages in petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, not crude: preparations n.e.c. containing by weight 70% or more of petroleum oils or oils from bituminous minerals: these being the basic constituents of the preparations: waste oils, representing $1.65B or22.8% of bilateral exports.

Import Dependencies

Imports from Nepal amount to $811.46 million, highlighting economic interdependence in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified, with Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified comprising8.7% of total imports.

The trade relationship reflects broader economic patterns and comparative advantages. The trade surplus indicates India's competitive position in this bilateral relationship. This partnership is characterized by complementary trade flows, with each country specializing in different product categories based on their respective economic strengths, industrial capabilities, and position in global value chains.

Download Bilateral Trade Data

Access detailed trade data between India and Nepal in multiple formats.

Data Source: CEPII BACI (Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International) โ€ข Last Updated: January 2025 โ€ข Coverage: 1995-2023