Mexico-Guatemala Bilateral Trade Analysis 2023

Complete trade statistics: $3.93B total volume •Mexico surplus: $2.59B

MexicoGuatemala

$3.26B

Exports (2023)

GuatemalaMexico

$673.52M

Imports (2023)

Trade Balance

$2.59B

Surplus for Mexico

Total Trade

$3.93B

Combined Volume

Trade Flow Visualization

Direct trade relationship between Mexico and Guatemala. Green line shows exports from Mexico, red line shows imports.

Detailed Product Trade Analysis

Comprehensive breakdown of trade flows by product category, revealing the specialized nature of the Mexico-Guatemala commercial relationship and competitive positioning in global markets.

MexicoGuatemala Exports

$3.26B
2023 Total

Export Market Intelligence

Product Diversity:
Specialized Focus
Market Share:
3.9% top product
1Electrical energy
$128.44M
3.9% of exports
2Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen
$121.09M
3.7% of exports
3Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, not fitted with connectors
$91.37M
2.8% of exports
4Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009
$66.45M
2.0% of exports
5Sanitary towels (pads) and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies and similar articles, of any material
$63.00M
1.9% of exports

🎯 Strategic Export Focus

Mexico's export portfolio to Guatemala demonstrates strategic specialization, with electrical energy representing a key competitive advantage in this bilateral market.

GuatemalaMexico Imports

$673.52M
2023 Total

Import Dependency Profile

Supply Diversity:
Concentrated
Critical Imports:
14.7% concentration
1Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified
$98.88M
14.7% of imports
2Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter
$41.12M
6.1% of imports
3Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)
$34.58M
5.1% of imports
4Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa
$28.70M
4.3% of imports
5Rubber: natural rubber latex, whether or not pre-vulcanised, in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip
$26.78M
4.0% of imports

📦 Import Strategy Analysis

Mexico's import pattern from Guatemala reveals significant dependencyin vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, highlighting complementary economic structures and potential supply chain optimization opportunities.

Competitive Trade Position Analysis

🏆

Market Leadership

Mexico demonstrates competitive strength in exportingelectrical energy to Guatemala, leveraging comparative advantages.

Export Leader in 5+ Categories
🔄

Trade Complementarity

The bilateral relationship showsmoderatecomplementarity, with each country specializing in different sectors.

Specialized Exchange
📈

Growth Potential

The $3.93B trade volume indicates substantial economic integration with room for expansion in emerging sectors.

Significant Partnership

Executive Summary: Mexico-Guatemala Trade Relationship

Key Trade Highlights 2023

  • Total Trade Volume: $3.93 billionrepresenting a significant bilateral economic relationship
  • Trade Balance: Mexico maintains a surplus of $2.59 billion
  • Export Focus: Mexico's primary exports include electrical energy, reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen, insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, not fitted with connectors
  • Import Dependencies: Key imports from Guatemala include vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter, rubber: technically specified natural rubber (tsnr), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)

Strategic Trade Indicators

Trade IntensityHigh
Export DiversificationConcentrated
Trade Balance HealthImbalanced

📈 Market Position: This bilateral trade relationship represents an important regional trade partnerships, with complementary economic strengths driving sustained commercial exchange.

Historical Trade Analysis & Economic Context

Trade Evolution Timeline

2019-2023: Recent Trends

Current trade volume of $3.93B represents the culmination of evolving bilateral commercial relationships, influenced by global supply chain shifts and changing economic priorities.

2015-2019: Growth Period

Sustained expansion in bilateral trade driven by complementary economic structures, with Mexico leveraging its comparative advantages in electrical energy.

2010-2015: Foundation Building

Establishment of modern trade frameworks and reduction of barriers, facilitating increased commercial exchange and investment flows between the two economies.

Pre-2010: Early Development

Initial stages of bilateral trade relationship development, with focus on traditional export-import patterns and gradual market integration.

Key Economic Drivers

1

Comparative Advantage

Mexico's specialization in electrical energycomplements Guatemala's demand patterns, creating natural trade synergies.

2

Supply Chain Integration

Deep integration in global value chains has strengthened bilateral linkages, particularly in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified.

3

Market Access & Trade Policy

Favorable trade agreements and market access conditions have facilitated the growth of this $3.93B bilateral relationship.

Trade Pattern Insights

Trade ComplementarityAsymmetric
Seasonal VariationsModerate
Product ConcentrationMedium
Market DependencyHigh
🔮

Trade Relationship Outlook

The $3.93B bilateral trade volume positions this relationship for continued growth, supported by technological advancement, evolving consumer preferences, and strengthening economic ties. Key opportunities lie in expanding cooperation in emerging sectors while managing potential supply chain vulnerabilities.

Economic Impact & Strategic Outlook

Economic Impact Assessment

💰

Trade Volume Impact

The $3.93 billion bilateral trade volume represents a important trade relationshipfor both economies.

Economic Significance: Moderate
🏭

Industrial Integration

Trade flows in electrical energy and vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified demonstrate deep industrial linkages and supply chain integration.

Supply Chain Integration: Specialized
⚖️

Trade Balance Effects

Mexico's trade surplus of $2.59 billion strengthens its overall economic position in this bilateral relationship.

Balance Impact: Export Advantage

Strategic Future Outlook

🚀Growth Opportunities

Emerging Sectors
Technology transfer and innovation cooperation in reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen present expansion opportunities.
Market Diversification
Beyond current focus on vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, new product categories offer potential for trade expansion.

⚠️Risk Factors

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
High trade imbalance may create supply chain risks
Market Competition
Global competition in electrical energy may affect future market positioning.

🎯Strategic Recommendations

  • Strengthen cooperation in high-value sectors beyond current trade patterns
  • Develop alternative supply chains to reduce dependency risks
  • Explore joint ventures in emerging technology sectors
  • Enhance trade facilitation and reduce transaction costs

Market Position & Competitive Summary

The bilateral trade relationship between Mexico and Guatemala represents a total trade volume of $3.93 billion in 2023. This partnership demonstrates a favorable trade balance for Mexico, with exports exceeding importsby $2.59 billion.

Export Strengths

Mexico's exports to Guatemala total $3.26 billion, with competitive advantages in electrical energy, representing $128.44M or3.9% of bilateral exports.

Import Dependencies

Imports from Guatemala amount to $673.52 million, highlighting economic interdependence in vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, with Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified comprising14.7% of total imports.

The trade relationship reflects broader economic patterns and comparative advantages. The trade surplus indicates Mexico's competitive position in this bilateral relationship. This partnership is characterized by complementary trade flows, with each country specializing in different product categories based on their respective economic strengths, industrial capabilities, and position in global value chains.

Download Bilateral Trade Data

Access detailed trade data between Mexico and Guatemala in multiple formats.

Data Source: CEPII BACI (Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International) • Last Updated: January 2025 • Coverage: 1995-2023