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Pakistan-Afghanistan Bilateral Trade Analysis 2023

Complete trade statistics: $1.66B total volume •Pakistan surplus: $277.60M

PakistanAfghanistan

$969.03M

Exports (2023)

AfghanistanPakistan

$691.43M

Imports (2023)

Trade Balance

$277.60M

Surplus for Pakistan

Total Trade

$1.66B

Combined Volume

Trade Flow Visualization

Direct trade relationship between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Green line shows exports from Pakistan, red line shows imports.

Detailed Product Trade Analysis

Comprehensive breakdown of trade flows by product category, revealing the specialized nature of the Pakistan-Afghanistan commercial relationship and competitive positioning in global markets.

PakistanAfghanistan Exports

$969.03M
2023 Total

Export Market Intelligence

Product Diversity:
Specialized Focus
Market Share:
11.3% top product
1Cereals: rice, broken
$109.45M
11.3% of exports
2Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed
$102.27M
10.6% of exports
3Food preparations: n.e.c. in item no. 2106.10
$84.30M
8.7% of exports
4Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.c. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale
$55.29M
5.7% of exports
5Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured
$55.21M
5.7% of exports

🎯 Strategic Export Focus

Pakistan's export portfolio to Afghanistan demonstrates strategic specialization, with cereals: rice, broken representing a key competitive advantage in this bilateral market.

AfghanistanPakistan Imports

$691.43M
2023 Total

Import Dependency Profile

Supply Diversity:
Concentrated
Critical Imports:
19.5% concentration
1Cotton: not carded or combed
$134.89M
19.5% of imports
2Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated
$130.56M
18.9% of imports
3Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated
$87.99M
12.7% of imports
4Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh
$54.13M
7.8% of imports
5Vegetables: tomatoes, fresh or chilled
$45.50M
6.6% of imports

📦 Import Strategy Analysis

Pakistan's import pattern from Afghanistan reveals strategic sourcingin cotton: not carded or combed, highlighting complementary economic structures and potential supply chain optimization opportunities.

Competitive Trade Position Analysis

🏆

Market Leadership

Pakistan demonstrates competitive strength in exportingcereals: rice, broken to Afghanistan, leveraging comparative advantages.

Export Leader in 5+ Categories
🔄

Trade Complementarity

The bilateral relationship showsstrongcomplementarity, with each country specializing in different sectors.

Highly Balanced
📈

Growth Potential

The $1.66B trade volume indicates substantial economic integration with room for expansion in emerging sectors.

Significant Partnership

Executive Summary: Pakistan-Afghanistan Trade Relationship

Key Trade Highlights 2023

  • Total Trade Volume: $1.66 billionrepresenting a significant bilateral economic relationship
  • Trade Balance: Pakistan maintains a surplus of $277.60 million
  • Export Focus: Pakistan's primary exports include cereals: rice, broken, cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed, food preparations: n.e.c. in item no. 2106.10
  • Import Dependencies: Key imports from Afghanistan include cotton: not carded or combed, coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated, coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated

Strategic Trade Indicators

Trade IntensityHigh
Export DiversificationConcentrated
Trade Balance HealthBalanced

📈 Market Position: This bilateral trade relationship represents an important regional trade partnerships, with complementary economic strengths driving sustained commercial exchange.

Historical Trade Analysis & Economic Context

Trade Evolution Timeline

2019-2023: Recent Trends

Current trade volume of $1.66B represents the culmination of evolving bilateral commercial relationships, influenced by global supply chain shifts and changing economic priorities.

2015-2019: Growth Period

Sustained expansion in bilateral trade driven by complementary economic structures, with Pakistan leveraging its comparative advantages in cereals: rice, broken.

2010-2015: Foundation Building

Establishment of modern trade frameworks and reduction of barriers, facilitating increased commercial exchange and investment flows between the two economies.

Pre-2010: Early Development

Initial stages of bilateral trade relationship development, with focus on traditional export-import patterns and gradual market integration.

Key Economic Drivers

1

Comparative Advantage

Pakistan's specialization in cereals: rice, brokencomplements Afghanistan's demand patterns, creating natural trade synergies.

2

Supply Chain Integration

Deep integration in global value chains has strengthened bilateral linkages, particularly in cotton: not carded or combed.

3

Market Access & Trade Policy

Favorable trade agreements and market access conditions have facilitated the growth of this $1.66B bilateral relationship.

Trade Pattern Insights

Trade ComplementarityAsymmetric
Seasonal VariationsModerate
Product ConcentrationMedium
Market DependencyModerate
🔮

Trade Relationship Outlook

The $1.66B bilateral trade volume positions this relationship for continued growth, supported by technological advancement, evolving consumer preferences, and strengthening economic ties. Key opportunities lie in expanding cooperation in emerging sectors while managing potential supply chain vulnerabilities.

Economic Impact & Strategic Outlook

Economic Impact Assessment

💰

Trade Volume Impact

The $1.66 billion bilateral trade volume represents a important trade relationshipfor both economies.

Economic Significance: Moderate
🏭

Industrial Integration

Trade flows in cereals: rice, broken and cotton: not carded or combed demonstrate deep industrial linkages and supply chain integration.

Supply Chain Integration: Specialized
⚖️

Trade Balance Effects

Pakistan's trade surplus of $277.60 million strengthens its overall economic position in this bilateral relationship.

Balance Impact: Well Balanced

Strategic Future Outlook

🚀Growth Opportunities

Emerging Sectors
Technology transfer and innovation cooperation in cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed present expansion opportunities.
Market Diversification
Beyond current focus on cotton: not carded or combed, new product categories offer potential for trade expansion.

⚠️Risk Factors

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Moderate concentration in key sectors requires monitoring
Market Competition
Global competition in cereals: rice, broken may affect future market positioning.

🎯Strategic Recommendations

  • Strengthen cooperation in high-value sectors beyond current trade patterns
  • Develop alternative supply chains to reduce dependency risks
  • Explore joint ventures in emerging technology sectors
  • Enhance trade facilitation and reduce transaction costs

Market Position & Competitive Summary

The bilateral trade relationship between Pakistan and Afghanistan represents a total trade volume of $1.66 billion in 2023. This partnership demonstrates a favorable trade balance for Pakistan, with exports exceeding importsby $277.60 million.

Export Strengths

Pakistan's exports to Afghanistan total $969.03 million, with competitive advantages in cereals: rice, broken, representing $109.45M or11.3% of bilateral exports.

Import Dependencies

Imports from Afghanistan amount to $691.43 million, highlighting economic interdependence in cotton: not carded or combed, with Cotton: not carded or combed comprising19.5% of total imports.

The trade relationship reflects broader economic patterns and comparative advantages. The trade surplus indicates Pakistan's competitive position in this bilateral relationship. This partnership is characterized by complementary trade flows, with each country specializing in different product categories based on their respective economic strengths, industrial capabilities, and position in global value chains.

Download Bilateral Trade Data

Access detailed trade data between Pakistan and Afghanistan in multiple formats.

Data Source: CEPII BACI (Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International) • Last Updated: January 2025 • Coverage: 1995-2023