Timor-Leste-China Bilateral Trade Analysis 2023

Complete trade statistics: $336.43M total volume •Timor-Leste deficit: $187.05M

Timor-LesteChina

$74.69M

Exports (2023)

ChinaTimor-Leste

$261.74M

Imports (2023)

Trade Balance

$187.05M

Deficit for Timor-Leste

Total Trade

$336.43M

Combined Volume

Trade Flow Visualization

Direct trade relationship between Timor-Leste and China. Green line shows exports from Timor-Leste, red line shows imports.

Detailed Product Trade Analysis

Comprehensive breakdown of trade flows by product category, revealing the specialized nature of the Timor-Leste-China commercial relationship and competitive positioning in global markets.

Timor-LesteChina Exports

$74.69M
2023 Total

Export Market Intelligence

Product Diversity:
Specialized Focus
Market Share:
99.2% top product
1Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude
$74.13M
99.2% of exports
2Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated
$260,094
0.3% of exports
3Vegetable products: fit for human consumption, n.e.c. in heading no. 1212, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not ground
$121,400
0.2% of exports
4Aluminium: unwrought, alloys
$85,581
0.1% of exports
5Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)
$44,000
0.1% of exports

🎯 Strategic Export Focus

Timor-Leste's export portfolio to China demonstrates strategic specialization, with oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude representing a key competitive advantage in this bilateral market.

ChinaTimor-Leste Imports

$261.74M
2023 Total

Import Dependency Profile

Supply Diversity:
Concentrated
Critical Imports:
6.0% concentration
1Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73
$15.65M
6.0% of imports
2Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed
$10.18M
3.9% of imports
3Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics
$8.11M
3.1% of imports
4Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling
$7.77M
3.0% of imports
5Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99
$4.77M
1.8% of imports

📦 Import Strategy Analysis

Timor-Leste's import pattern from China reveals significant dependencyin iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73, highlighting complementary economic structures and potential supply chain optimization opportunities.

Competitive Trade Position Analysis

🏆

Market Leadership

Timor-Leste demonstrates competitive strength in exportingoils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude to China, leveraging comparative advantages.

Export Leader in 5+ Categories
🔄

Trade Complementarity

The bilateral relationship showsmoderatecomplementarity, with each country specializing in different sectors.

Specialized Exchange
📈

Growth Potential

The $336.43M trade volume indicates substantial economic integration with room for expansion in emerging sectors.

Significant Partnership

Executive Summary: Timor-Leste-China Trade Relationship

Key Trade Highlights 2023

  • Total Trade Volume: $336.43 millionrepresenting a significant bilateral economic relationship
  • Trade Balance: Timor-Leste maintains a deficit of $187.05 million
  • Export Focus: Timor-Leste's primary exports include oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude, coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated, vegetable products: fit for human consumption, n.e.c. in heading no. 1212, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not ground
  • Import Dependencies: Key imports from China include iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73, cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed, iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics

Strategic Trade Indicators

Trade IntensityHigh
Export DiversificationConcentrated
Trade Balance HealthImbalanced

📈 Market Position: This bilateral trade relationship represents an important regional trade partnerships, with complementary economic strengths driving sustained commercial exchange.

Historical Trade Analysis & Economic Context

Trade Evolution Timeline

2019-2023: Recent Trends

Current trade volume of $336.43M represents the culmination of evolving bilateral commercial relationships, influenced by global supply chain shifts and changing economic priorities.

2015-2019: Growth Period

Sustained expansion in bilateral trade driven by complementary economic structures, with Timor-Leste leveraging its comparative advantages in oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude.

2010-2015: Foundation Building

Establishment of modern trade frameworks and reduction of barriers, facilitating increased commercial exchange and investment flows between the two economies.

Pre-2010: Early Development

Initial stages of bilateral trade relationship development, with focus on traditional export-import patterns and gradual market integration.

Key Economic Drivers

1

Comparative Advantage

Timor-Leste's specialization in oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crudecomplements China's demand patterns, creating natural trade synergies.

2

Supply Chain Integration

Deep integration in global value chains has strengthened bilateral linkages, particularly in iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73.

3

Market Access & Trade Policy

Favorable trade agreements and market access conditions have facilitated the growth of this $336.43M bilateral relationship.

Trade Pattern Insights

Trade ComplementarityAsymmetric
Seasonal VariationsModerate
Product ConcentrationMedium
Market DependencyHigh
🔮

Trade Relationship Outlook

The $336.43M bilateral trade volume positions this relationship for continued growth, supported by technological advancement, evolving consumer preferences, and strengthening economic ties. Key opportunities lie in expanding cooperation in emerging sectors while managing potential supply chain vulnerabilities.

Economic Impact & Strategic Outlook

Economic Impact Assessment

💰

Trade Volume Impact

The $336.43 million bilateral trade volume represents a important trade relationshipfor both economies.

Economic Significance: Moderate
🏭

Industrial Integration

Trade flows in oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude and iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73 demonstrate deep industrial linkages and supply chain integration.

Supply Chain Integration: Specialized
⚖️

Trade Balance Effects

Timor-Leste's trade deficit of $187.05 million impacts its overall economic position in this bilateral relationship.

Balance Impact: Import Dependency

Strategic Future Outlook

🚀Growth Opportunities

Emerging Sectors
Technology transfer and innovation cooperation in coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated present expansion opportunities.
Market Diversification
Beyond current focus on iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73, new product categories offer potential for trade expansion.

⚠️Risk Factors

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
High trade imbalance may create supply chain risks
Market Competition
Global competition in oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude may affect future market positioning.

🎯Strategic Recommendations

  • Strengthen cooperation in high-value sectors beyond current trade patterns
  • Develop alternative supply chains to reduce dependency risks
  • Explore joint ventures in emerging technology sectors
  • Enhance trade facilitation and reduce transaction costs

Market Position & Competitive Summary

The bilateral trade relationship between Timor-Leste and China represents a total trade volume of $336.43 million in 2023. This partnership demonstrates an unfavorable trade balance for Timor-Leste, with imports exceeding exportsby $187.05 million.

Export Strengths

Timor-Leste's exports to China total $74.69 million, with competitive advantages in oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude, representing $74.13M or99.2% of bilateral exports.

Import Dependencies

Imports from China amount to $261.74 million, highlighting economic interdependence in iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73, with Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not seamless), welded, of square or rectangular cross-section, n.e.c. in chapter 73 comprising6.0% of total imports.

The trade relationship reflects broader economic patterns and comparative advantages. The trade deficit indicates Timor-Leste's strategic sourcing from China. This partnership is characterized by complementary trade flows, with each country specializing in different product categories based on their respective economic strengths, industrial capabilities, and position in global value chains.

Download Bilateral Trade Data

Access detailed trade data between Timor-Leste and China in multiple formats.

Data Source: CEPII BACI (Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International) • Last Updated: January 2025 • Coverage: 1995-2023